While many are not too happy about the stock market retrenching and others
who work in the energy industry are suffering through a retrenching, much of
America is enjoying the sale going on right now. What is on sale? Gasoline and
home loans. If these gas prices hold, we would expect a very busy summer
vacation season and this should boost the economy. The American Automobile
Association has indicated that the price of gas is now averaging over $1.00 per
gallon less than the highs hit in 2015.

Lower than expected rates on home loans are fueling an increase in
refinancing by homeowners. In mid-February, the share of applications for home
loans which were refinances hit over 60% of the total market. Refinancing also
puts more cash in consumers' pockets. With the spring real estate season about
to start, it remains to be seen whether low rates will also boost home sales. We
will add our own speculation.
We believe that if the economy continues to produce jobs near the same rate
it did in 2015, and if rates stay low, this could be a banner year for real
estate. The only issue holding back real estate sales is the lack of inventory.
We expect builders to ramp up to meet the demand produced. The bottom line is
that owning is cheaper than renting in most areas of the country and the sale on
home loans has made homeownership even more affordable.
Mike Ervin
NMLS # 282715
W.J. Bradley Mortgage mike@mikeervin.com
www.mikeervin.com
P: (650) 451-7797
C: (650) 766-8500
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